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Jeff Fong's avatar

Wonderful reporting and you're hitting on an important tension in intra-yimby movement conversations; namely whether pro-housing wins can be "too big" and cause backlash that's net/net detrimental.

At least in my corner of Yimbyland, we take the viewpoint that there's zero backlash risk, because NIMBYs everywhere are already maximally NIMBY. A corollary to that might be that there's no "contagion" risk from leapfrog development where a 20-story tower goes up amongst two-story construction. Real NIMBYism (separate from ideological anti-supply folks online) is inherently parochial and largely empowered by institutional arrangements...ie there's no "NIMBY Movement" and aggravating folks in Palo Alto doesn't activate anyone in Austin.

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Jack Youstra's avatar

First, thank you for your contributions. Writing a nuanced YIMBY piece is always a little fraught.

If we want to substantially deflate housing prices to cost (hopefully one day) rather than just target slower growth, we need supply to match underlying demand rather than being artificially constrained. Paradoxically, this means building a bit more than current (with all of the other non-zoning regulations still in effect).

I'd actually take the opposite tack than this article: the coalition that we have right now is quite fragile: it mostly hinges on low-engagement people attracted only because of unaffordable housing prices barely eking out over very high-engagement NIMBYs. If we take steps to moderate it to, say, keep rents steady and merely affordable (rather than cheap and deflating to cost), the coalition could dissolve and could be overcome by NIMBYs. We should use the strength and the opportunity we have on an already polarized issue (high engagement NIMBYs aren't going to become much higher engagement!) to push forth reforms that'll finish the job and risk them being undone at a later date rather than risk the incremental coalition losing steam a few steps in.

Again, thanks for the writing and I hope things are well.

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